Annual Play-in Watch: 2024 Edition
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tox
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 27, 2024 8:54 pm    Post subject:

I'd love another WCF against the Nuggets.

I'd give the Lakers a 25-30% chance of winning. But gotta go through the best to win it all
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Hanging from Rafters
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 29, 2024 6:21 pm    Post subject:

The Lakers will finish ahead of the Suns for at least 8th in the standings if the season goes as projected below with both teams winning against teams ahead of them and losing to teams below them except for the Lakers upsetting the Pels in the last game of the season.

W or L = win or loss was as projected
W = win was not projected
L = loss was not projected

Pho_____LAL
SA L……....Mil W
Den W…....Mem W
OKC L……..Ind L
NOP W..…..BKN W
Cle L.……….Tor W
Min L………..Was W
NOP L……….Cle L
LAC W……….Min L
LAC L…………GSW W
Sac W….……Mem W
Min L………..NOP W

Final projection for last 11 games:
Pho_____LAL
4-7……………7-4 (On pace; On pace to finish better; On pace to finish worse)

8th LAL 46-26 (+1)
9th Pho 46-26

The Lakers are +1 game ahead of the projected pace needed to finish ahead of Phoenix for 8th in the standings.
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Hanging from Rafters
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 31, 2024 7:36 pm    Post subject:

If each team (LAL/Pho/Sac) loses to the teams currently ahead of them in the standings and wins against the teams currently below them, allowing exceptions with a spit for the Suns against the teams they play twice (NOP/LAC/Min), the projections below would give the Lakers the 7th position in the standings, provided the Lakers upset the Pels. This happens even with the Kings upset win of the Clips.

Suns
OKC L
NOP W (split upset exception)
Cle L
Min L
NOP L
LAC W (split upset exception)
LAC L
SAC W
Min W (split upset exception)
4-5

Kings
Utah W
LAC W (upset exception)
NYK L
Bos L
Bkn W
OKC L
NOP L
Pho L
Por W
4-5

Lakers
Ind L
Bkn W
Tor W
Was W
Clev L
Min L
GSW W
Mem W
NOP W (upset exception)
6-3

Final Projection
7 LAL 47-35
8 Pho 47-35
9 Sac 46-36

W or L = win or loss was as projected
W or L = win or loss was not as projected
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Last edited by Hanging from Rafters on Tue Apr 02, 2024 8:42 pm; edited 11 times in total
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Lakersfan1211
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 31, 2024 9:44 pm    Post subject:

Watch Immanuel Quickley comes back vs Lakers on Tuesday after missing 6 straight games due to personal and then returning to competitive conditioning.

Quote:
Quickley will miss his sixth straight contest Sunday while returning to competitive conditioning. Javon Freeman-Liberty will likely continue to start in his absence. Quickley's next chance to suit up is Tuesday's matchup with the Lakers.
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petergr
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 02, 2024 4:23 pm    Post subject:

Late season games against strong teams are also winnable as teams will start resting key players. Its not very likely that Kings or Suns will drop below Lakers. Its hard to avoid the 9-10 elimination game now.
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:48 pm    Post subject:

Go suns?
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 8:56 pm    Post subject:

Phew….
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slavavov
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:01 pm    Post subject:

The Kings lost and the Warriors lost tonight.

If we win on Sunday, we finish eighth. Let's do this!
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:06 pm    Post subject:

MEGABOWL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Flint Michigan MEGABOWL!!!!
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Dr. Laker
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:10 pm    Post subject:

slavavov wrote:
The Kings lost and the Warriors lost tonight.

If we win on Sunday, we finish eighth. Let's do this!


We have a puncher's chance at going all the way!
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Laker4lifer4real
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:13 pm    Post subject:

So if the Lakers beat the Pelicans, do they just stay in New Orleans and not have to travel for the Playin? That also would be a win, but hard to win 2 in a row on the road….
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Lakersfan1211
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:23 pm    Post subject:

Laker4lifer4real wrote:
So if the Lakers beat the Pelicans, do they just stay in New Orleans and not have to travel for the Playin? That also would be a win, but hard to win 2 in a row on the road….


That's only if PHX beats MIN (PHX got tiebreaker over NO). if both NO/PHX lose, we go to PHX...dangerous. lol
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miggz23
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:28 pm    Post subject:

Laker4lifer4real wrote:
So if the Lakers beat the Pelicans, do they just stay in New Orleans and not have to travel for the Playin? That also would be a win, but hard to win 2 in a row on the road….


You want to win on Sunday... It at least gives you 2 games to get in.
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Laker4lifer4real
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:32 pm    Post subject:

Lakersfan1211 wrote:
Laker4lifer4real wrote:
So if the Lakers beat the Pelicans, do they just stay in New Orleans and not have to travel for the Playin? That also would be a win, but hard to win 2 in a row on the road….


That's only if PHX beats MIN (PHX got tiebreaker over NO). if both NO/PHX lose, we go to PHX...dangerous. lol


That’s a tough ask for Phoenix to beat Wolves.
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CandyCanes
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:35 pm    Post subject:

That’s nuts how all three games went our way today despite being close— our own, New Orleans vs Golden State, and Phoenix vs Sacramento.
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2019
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 9:49 pm    Post subject:

CandyCanes wrote:
That’s nuts how all three games went our way today despite being close— our own, New Orleans vs Golden State, and Phoenix vs Sacramento.


I'd argue 6 went our way... Spurs beating Nuggets. OKC over Boston. Minn beating Atlanta.

All of which helped dropped Denver out of the #1 spot which is no doubt our toughest matchup should we make it out the 1st round.
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ducasse
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 11:07 pm    Post subject:

Too bad NO has something to play for. That's going to be a really difficult game.

Crazy that Nuggets are down to third seed now. Can't believe they lost to one of the worst teams when they had something to play for.
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CamReddish
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2024 11:28 pm    Post subject:

ducasse wrote:
Too bad NO has something to play for. That's going to be a really difficult game.

Crazy that Nuggets are down to third seed now. Can't believe they lost to one of the worst teams when they had something to play for.

Does not matter. If we are in playoff mode, we win Sunday.
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michaelg
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 2:00 am    Post subject:

Even after AD’s injury the Lakers somehow moved up to 8th seed with a loss in hand against the Kings and Warriors. Kings 3-7 of their last 10. After months of trying to move up they finally did it.

Now correct me if I’m wrong, they can earn a spot in the playoffs with two wins out of the next three. Or, with two losses in the next three the season will be over. Come on team, lock in!
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Dominic1981
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 3:25 am    Post subject:

Pretty simple now:

If Lakers win @ Pelicans, it will be.

(8) Lakers at (7) Suns (winner gets #7 seed)
If Lakers lose, they would play (GS/Sac) winner at home for #8 seed.

If Lakers lose @ Pelicans, it will be:
(10) Lakers at (9) Warriors
(8) Kings at (7) Suns

This assumes Kings beat Blazers, Suns lose at Wolves, and Warriors beat Jazz.

So huge game at Pelicans. It’s the difference between having to win 2 road playoff games just to make the 8th seed. Phx has the tiebreak over the Pelicans, so I don’t see the Pelicans resting guys bc there’s still a chance Phx could upset the Wolves and steal the #6
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Dominic1981
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 3:35 am    Post subject:

michaelg wrote:
Even after AD’s injury the Lakers somehow moved up to 8th seed with a loss in hand against the Kings and Warriors. Kings 3-7 of their last 10. After months of trying to move up they finally did it.

Now correct me if I’m wrong, they can earn a spot in the playoffs with two wins out of the next three. Or, with two losses in the next three the season will be over. Come on team, lock in!


Yeah that’s a good way too look at it.

Lakers must win 2 of their next 3 games, and at least 2 will be road games vs playoff teams. Lakers are only 4-10 this year on the road vs Western Conf playoff teams.
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wolfpaclaker
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 4:14 am    Post subject:

Crazy implications of this Pelicans Lakers game.
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wolfpaclaker
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 4:19 am    Post subject:

Pelicans are a very weird team. They can play well and beat anyone. And have shown it. But they also have a lot of bad losses. On paper at home they should be able to win a must win game like that, but I’ve seen them lose quite a few head scratchers.

Also no matter what, we’re going to be on the road at least 4 straight games. Pelicans, the play in, then 2 straight roads to start a playoff series. It’s really go time !
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wolfpaclaker
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 4:20 am    Post subject:

What sucks is Warriors and Kings have very winnable games. We win we are 8th. We lose, we’re facing a daunting task of 5 straight road games.
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governator
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 5:15 am    Post subject:

Dominic1981 wrote:
Pretty simple now:

If Lakers win @ Pelicans, it will be.

(8) Lakers at (7) Suns (winner gets #7 seed)
If Lakers lose, they would play (GS/Sac) winner at home for #8 seed.

If Lakers lose @ Pelicans, it will be:
(10) Lakers at (9) Warriors
(8) Kings at (7) Suns

This assumes Kings beat Blazers, Suns lose at Wolves, and Warriors beat Jazz.

So huge game at Pelicans. It’s the difference between having to win 2 road playoff games just to make the 8th seed. Phx has the tiebreak over the Pelicans, so I don’t see the Pelicans resting guys bc there’s still a chance Phx could upset the Wolves and steal the #6


Ok, let’s beat the pels then beat them again/suns. Grab the 7th seed and bring on Mike ‘I’m hood’ Malone
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