^^^ Damn LOL. I'm telling you. They made it way too complicated. Maybe I'll understand it more after a good nights sleep. LOL
Basically it's runs allowed. But they can't go straight by runs allowed due to the mercy rule.
For instance:
Quote:
USA: 12
CAN: 1 in 5 innings
MEX: 5
CAN: 1 in 9 innings
MEX and USA both gave up only 1 run. However, Mexico played more innings than we did, so they should reflect that. So, they decided to add in the innings played (measured by outs recorded).
So, now:
USA gave up 1 run in 5 innings (15 outs). So, it's 1/15 = 0.07
MEX gave up 1 run in 9 innings (27 outs). So, it's 1/27 = 0.04
MEX gave up less runs.
So basically, how many runs did you give up, per out?
Take all the teams who are tied. Add up all the runs they allowed (when they played each other), and divide by all the outs they recorded.
^^^ Damn LOL. I'm telling you. They made it way too complicated. Maybe I'll understand it more after a good nights sleep. LOL
Basically it's runs allowed. But they can't go straight by runs allowed due to the mercy rule.
For instance:
Quote:
USA: 12
CAN: 1 in 5 innings
MEX: 5
CAN: 1 in 9 innings
MEX and USA both gave up only 1 run. However, Mexico played more innings than we did, so they should reflect that. So, they decided to add in the innings played (measured by outs recorded).
So, now:
USA gave up 1 run in 5 innings (15 outs). So, it's 1/15 = 0.07
MEX gave up 1 run in 9 innings (27 outs). So, it's 1/27 = 0.04
MEX gave up less runs.
So basically, how many runs did you give up, per out?
Take all the teams who are tied. Add up all the runs they allowed (when they played each other), and divide by all the outs they recorded.
1) Dave Roberts really hyping up Rojas' defense and importance to the team this year. I don't know if I buy it since he only cost $5M. Can we get this much value from a $5M player that only cost us a #15 prospect? I certainly hope so. I'll try to buy it, but I'm skeptical. His dWAR last year was really good though: 2.6 dWAR. Well, let me restate. I don't know if I buy that his defense will significantly offset his bad offense. But that's not what Roberts' is saying. He's just saying his defense alone will be extremely valuable for us. I guess I can agree with that:
Quote:
Restrictions on defensive shift in the infield make Miguel Rojas’ defense at shortstop even more valuable, manager Dave Roberts told Matthew Ritchie at MLB.com: “I think it’s really going to show itself without the shift this year. And so, not only getting to baseballs, but the ability to finish plays with arm strength and accuracy. With the numbers, as far as defensive WAR, whatever the statistics may be, he’s going to be right at the top — he’s a plus, major league shortstop.”
2) Spring Training is really winding down now:
Quote:
There are 15 days until opening day and 14 spring training games to be played.
3) Taylor is still struggling mightily:
Quote:
Taylor has just 3 hits in 26 at-bats this spring while striking out 10 times in 10 games.
4) Dodgers Injury News: RHP Daniel Hudson Frustrated By Slow Recovery
Quote:
There was some hope that he'd be recovered in time to return for opening day this season, but his body hasn't responded as well as anyone hoped. By all accounts, Hudson is close. He just threw his second live batting practice of the spring on Monday and is creeping his way back to the active roster, certainly at a frustratingly slower pace than he wanted, as he told the OC Register.
Quote:
“Yeah – but it is what it is. I’m 36. I’m not 26 anymore. That’s just part of getting a little older and the rehab process taking a little longer and bouncing back and stuff like that. It’s definitely been frustrating. At the same time, I’m trying to keep my eyes on the bigger prize of being available towards the end of the season rather than potentially April 1.”
5) Urias won't pitch tonight:
Quote:
Bob Nightengale
@BNightengale
LA #Dodgers ace Julio Urias will not throw a single pitch Wednesday in Mexico's critical WBC game vs. Canada.
Manager Benji Gil: "I would love to win this tournament....but I have to protect his career. If he would come out [of the bullpen], I would tackle him to stop him.''
6) For those who don't know, Kike Hernandez shares a story of the most embarrassing thing that's happened to him: sharting in his pants in the 2020 NLDS:
Yeah, we're in great shape. We've got to give up a ton of runs tonight to lose the tiebreaker.
Canada is practically eliminated because we scored 12 against them.
Quote:
CAN:
0 / 27 outs
12 / 21 outs
12 / 48 outs = 0.25
COL:
5 / 27 outs = 0.185
USA:
1 / 27 outs = 0.037
Here's an interesting scenario. If COL beats us 12-9 (or higher) in 9 innings, we both get eliminated and CAN is in.
Here's the math:
Quote:
CAN: 5
COL: 0 in 9 innings
USA: 9
COL: 12 in 9 innings
USA: 12
CAN: 1 in 7 innings
----------------
CAN:
0 / 27 outs
12 / 21 outs
12 / 48 outs = 0.25
COL:
5 / 27 outs
9 / 27 outs
14 / 54 outs = .26
USA:
1 / 21 outs
12 / 27 outs
13 / 48 outs = .27
Scenarios for us to lose tonight and get in:
Quote:
1) How many runs can we give up (in a 9 inning game)?
- If we allow COL to score 12 or more runs, we're out
- If we allow COL to score exactly 11 runs, we're tied with CAN and go to the next tie breaker
- If we allow COL to score 10 or less runs, we're in (provided we don't lose by too many runs).
2) How many runs can we lose by (in a 9 inning game)?
- If we lose by 3 or more, COL is in.
- there's 2 exceptions, if we lose 3-0 or 4-1, then that's ok to lose by 3. Once we get to 5-2 and above, then COL would be in. It's weird, dealing with fractions.
- If we lose by 2 or less, we're in.
So, in summary:
1) lose by 2 or less, and
2) don't allow COL to score over 10.
Last edited by LongBeachPoly on Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:49 pm; edited 9 times in total
Puerto Rico ousts Dominican Republic at WBC, but loses Edwin Diaz to injury
Puerto Rico ousted the favored Dominican Republic from the World Baseball Classic on Wednesday night with a 5-2 victory in front of a raucous crowd of 36,025 at sold-out LoanDepot Park. But the celebratory mood proved short-lived.
While Puerto Rico advanced to the quarterfinals, they likely continue in the tournament without Edwin Díaz, the All-Star closer for the New York Mets, who appeared to suffer an injury to his right leg while celebrating after converting the save, leaving players in noticeable shock in the wake of what should have been a thrilling victory.
A few pages back I was wondering if TA would be a target. He fits the team's MO for contracts to trade for (team control for a couple of years, not too expensive).
Yeah, we're in great shape. We've got to give up a ton of runs tonight to lose the tiebreaker.
Canada is practically eliminated because we scored 12 against them.
Quote:
CAN:
0 / 27 outs
12 / 21 outs
12 / 48 outs = 0.25
COL:
5 / 27 outs = 0.185
USA:
1 / 27 outs = 0.037
Here's an interesting scenario. If COL beats us 12-9 (or higher) in 9 innings, we both get eliminated and CAN is in.
Here's the math:
Quote:
CAN: 5
COL: 0 in 9 innings
USA: 9
COL: 12 in 9 innings
USA: 12
CAN: 1 in 7 innings
----------------
CAN:
0 / 27 outs
12 / 21 outs
12 / 48 outs = 0.25
COL:
5 / 27 outs
9 / 27 outs
14 / 54 outs = .26
USA:
1 / 21 outs
12 / 27 outs
13 / 48 outs = .27
Scenarios for us to lose tonight and get in:
Quote:
1) How many runs can we give up (in a 9 inning game)?
- If we allow COL to score 12 or more runs, we're out
- If we allow COL to score exactly 11 runs, we're tied with CAN and go to the next tie breaker
- If we allow COL to score 10 or less runs, we're in (provided we don't lose by too many runs).
2) How many runs can we lose by (in a 9 inning game)?
- If we lose by 3 or more, COL is in.
- there's 2 exceptions, if we lose 3-0 or 4-1, then that's ok to lose by 3. Once we get to 5-2 and above, then COL would be in. It's weird, dealing with fractions.
- If we lose by 2 or less, we're in.
So, in summary:
1) lose by 2 or less, and
2) don't allow COL to score over 10.
Thanks for the breakdown.
So far so good. We are up 1.
Also sucks about Diaz. Damn what a way to get injured. At least Juan Soto and Manny Machado are out.
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